More from the gold front

By One-handed Buddha on Wednesday, December 14, 2011 with 0 comments

Eric Jackson wrote an interesting piece on shorting gold. What was particularly interesting to me, was that he listed the arguments of the bulls (i put them here in CAPS; and gave my counter argument next to it:

- QE3 IS COMING
Ofcourse but the FED is showing signs now of slowing down with the fullblown monetary easing.

- EUROPE IS CRACKING UP
Europe is, albeit slowly, starting to take action

- THERE IS A SUPPLY DEMAND IMBALANCE
Sure but that is mainly because all the other reasons increase the demand so much. When the other bull reasons get neutralized this is no longer the case. So this is not a pro gold argument in itself

- It’s UNDER-OWNED BY PEOPLE AND CENTRAL BANKS
maybe but maybe for good reason. It’s an inflation protector with quite some volatility attached to it.

to all this i’d like to add that demand from China is decreasing if the slowdown there gets more serious.
The bull's can still make a case. The arguments hold up reasonably well. But not like they used too. This is reflected in the recent halt of gold's surge up. It's wavering now and when the bull's cant really make a case anymore, it will be too late. Gold will be down a lot by then.
Ofcourse i could be wrong and i will neutralize my position if i lose my profits on it. But i try to keep running them up.

Category: GLD , gold , gold bubble , short gold

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